How long will AP Cayetano remain as SP?

With Senator Bato de la Rosa already missing in action, the very thin majority of 13 is now only 12. Once Senator JV Ejercito returns to the flock, being the good one and Migz Zubiri realizes that an overwhelming majority of Mindanao House members have said Yes to the impeachment, one or two more may be enticed to join the group of Tito Sen and Ping Lacson. Presto, then Senate President Alan Peter Cayetano's days may be numbered.

The best strategy is to elect the first woman Senate president. That would convince Loren to come back like a prodigal daughter. Pressure may be exerted on the Villars and they will decide in favor of the side that will protect their business empire. Once the ombudsman expedites the cases against four senators whose names you have already known during the House and Senate hearings on the flood-control, the incumbency of Senate President Cayetano will be constantly hounded by grave and imminent dangers of a counter coup d’état.

Well, I can cite a number of precedents. Within 14 months from March 1952 to May 1953, the Senate elected five Senate presidents. From March 5 to April 17, 1952 or for only 42 days, Quintin Paredes, a Liberal from Abra was fifth Senate president. He was replaced by Nacionalista Camilo Osias from La Union who served as our sixth Senate president for only 13 days from April 17 to April 30. 1952. He was replaced by partymate Nacionalista Eulogio Rodriguez from Rizal who stayed longer as our seventh Senate president from April 30, 1952 to April 17, 1953, or 13 days short of one year.

On April 17, 1953, Camilo Osias came back as the eighth Senate president, only to be replaced on May 20, 1953. He stayed there only for 33 days. In no time at all, Osias, a Nacionalista, was ousted by Jose Zulueta, a Liberal from Iloilo, who stayed as the ninth Senate president from May 20, 1953 to November 30, 1953. He was in turn replaced by Eulogio Rodriguez, the tenth Senate president, who stayed for a very long time from November 30, 1953 to April 5, 1963. Rodriguez was ousted by Ferdinand Marcos Sr. who occupied that position as the eleventh Senate president, from April 5, 1963 to December 30, 1965 when he ran for president against Diosdado Macapagal. The rest is history.

Then, LDP Neptali Gonzales was the fifteenth Senate president from January 16, 1992 to January 18, 1993. He was replaced by LDP's Edgardo Angara as the sixteenth Senate president, who served from January 18, 1993 to August 28, 1995. The seventeenth Senate president was Neptali Gonzales again serving from August 29, 1995 to October 10, 1996. He was replaced by eighteenth Senate president, NPC's Ernesto Maceda from October 10, 1996 to January 26, 1998. The nineteenth Senate president was Neptali Gonzales for the third time and served as such from January 26, 1998 to June 30, 1998.

Not too long ago, Franklin Drilon, of LP, served as the twenty-second Senate president serving from April 13, 2000. He was replaced by Aquilino Pimentel Jr., PDP-Laban, who served as the twenty-third Senate president from November 13, 2000 to June 30, 2001. The twenty-fourth Senate president was Frank Dilon again and he served his full term from July 23, 2001 to July 24, 2006. Manuel Villar, NP, served as the twenty-fifth Senate president from July 24, 2006 to November 17, 2008. Juan Ponce Enrile served as the twenty-sixth Senate president from November 17, 2008 to June 5, 2013. The twenty-seventh was Frank Drilon, for the third time, and served from July 22, 2013 to June 30, 2016.

Based on all the above, I have a feeling that Senate President Cayetano may not last for 33 days. He may even break the record of Camilo Osias who only stayed as the sixth Senate president for 13 days. Well, I can be wrong, of course, But I can also be right. In the Philippines, politics is, to quote Tom Hanks, "like a box of chocolates. You'll never know what you're gonna get.” That's how the cookie crumbles.