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Stock Commentary

Apex Mining seeks amended permit for Sangilo expansion

AB Capital Securities
Apex Mining seeks amended permit for Sangilo expansion

From AB Capital's The Opening Bell: Three Moves

Event

Apex Mining (APX) disclosed that its subsidiary, Itogon-Suyoc Resources Inc. (ISRI), has applied to amend Sangilo’s Environmental Compliance Certificate to support a capacity expansion, backed by P519mn of capex. The amendment would allow a near-term increase to 510 tpd and enable a longer-term ramp-up toward 1,900 tpd, alongside an expanded project area pending approval of a Mineral Production Sharing Agreement (MPSA).

View

We view the ECC amendment as a constructive step toward de-risking Sangilo’s long-term expansion and mine-life extension. Independent technical review indicates potential mine life of up to ~34 years at 1,900 tpd. The move reinforces management’s commitment to disciplined scale-up and enhances visibility on reserve monetization, particularly in a structurally supportive gold price environment.

Catalyst

Key catalysts include approval of the amended ECC, progress on the pending MPSA renewal and project area expansion to 434 hectares, and incremental production increases at Sangilo. Successful execution would strengthen confidence in APX’s medium-term capacity growth profile and support valuation upside as long-duration cash flows become more visible.

Action

We maintain an OUTPERFORM view on APX. Regulatory progress at Sangilo adds incremental upside to our medium-term production and mine-life assumptions. We would view confirmation of permitting milestones as supportive of further re-rating.

 

Disclaimer: The information, analyses, and views contained herein is based on sources which we, AB Capital Securities, believe are reliable, but is not guaranteed by us and is not to be considered all inclusive. It is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy the securities herein mentioned. AB Capital Securities and its Directors and Officers and/or members of their families may have a position in the securities herein mentioned and may make purchases and/or sales of the securities from time to time in the open-market and otherwise.

APEX MINING

GOLD

SANGILO

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