BERLIN (AP) — Europe’s debt crisis spread its contagion to another country Wednesday when a major agency downgraded Spain’s credit rating, even as Germany grudgingly moved closer to bailing out Greece from imminent collapse.
Greece and Portugal – up to now the focus of alarm – are relative economic minnows. But Spain’s economy, at four times the size of Greece, is considered by many too big to rescue.
At stake is the threat of higher borrowing costs that could crimp government spending for years and undermine the once-mighty euro.
Chancellor Angela Merkel said Germany would speed up approval of its share of a nearly $60-billion (euro45-billion) joint bailout with the International Monetary Fund and other euro countries, rushing it through parliament by May 7.
That would beat a May 19 deadline when Greece has debt coming due – and which it can’t pay without a bailout.
“It’s absolutely clear that the negotiations between the Greek government and the European Commission and the IMF have to be accelerated now,” Merkel said ahead of a meeting with IMF head Dominique Strauss-Kahn. “We hope that they will be completed in the next days.”
Her remarks and a promise from Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble that the package could be signed, sealed and delivered – provided Greece agrees to tough austerity measures – helped shore up confidence the country would not suffer a disastrous default. That would make borrowing more expensive for governments across Europe.
But the Spain downgrade and a lack of clarity about how much money Greece will really need unsettled investors. Major European markets closed down after the Spain announcement, which came in the final two minutes of trading.
Strauss-Kahn would not confirm reports he had told German parliamentary deputies that Greece would need as much as $158 billion (euro120 billion) over several years.
Some say the very future of the euro hangs in the balance.
At minimum, a Greek default would roil the balance sheets of European banks holding Greek bonds. Higher borrowing costs would force indebted governments to pay more to cover interest costs, thus stifling spending and economic stimulus, and pushing them to increase taxes. That would make it harder for Europe to maintain its shaky economic recovery.
Once again, the main actors in the Greek debt drama failed to provide complete clarity - threatening already shaky markets with further turmoil.
Royal Bank of Scotland analyst Jacques Cailloux said the statements by Merkel, Strauss-Kahn and European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet “failed to provide groundbreaking information” and warned that Europe risked the “biggest coordination failure in modern history.”
Until the German parliament backs the release of bailout funds, the markets will remain “very skeptical” that EU and IMF leaders have a handle on the crisis, Cailloux said.
Merkel’s government has balked at handing over German taxpayers’ money to a country that has acknowledged massaging its debt figures for years - and key regional elections in Germany on May 9 have not helped to bring about a swift resolution.
Merkel stressed that Germany was still insisting Greece commit to tough austerity measures.
“Germany will make its contribution, but Greece has to make its contribution,” she said.
Merkel would not comment on how much money Greece would need in the long run. “What is known ... is that it will be a three-year program,” she said. “Let us talk about numbers when the program is finalized.”