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Business

ASEAN milestone

BYTES - Lito Villanueva - The Philippine Star

There is a negotiation underway that most Filipinos have never heard of, yet its outcome may shape how tens of millions of them earn, transact, compete and participate in the regional economy for the next generation.

It is called the ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA), and it may become the most consequential economic integration initiative ASEAN has undertaken since its founding.

It proposes a single digital market of 670 million people, bound by common rules on data flows, digital payments, cybersecurity, e-commerce and digital identity. This is not another aspirational declaration. It is intended to become a binding regional framework, targeted for conclusion by the end of May 2026, with signature eyed for November. Under our ASEAN chairship, the Philippines is not a spectator to this negotiation. We are at the table, helping write the rules.

That is a remarkable place to be. And yet the weight of it only fully registers when you consider what is actually at stake, not for the boardrooms, but for the barangays.

DEFA is composed of nine core pillars, each targeting a specific friction point that today prevents ASEAN’s digital economy from functioning as one. Digital trade and cross-border e-commerce address the paperwork and interoperability gaps that slow legitimate commerce. Payments and e-invoicing aim to make cross-border transactions as seamless and trusted as domestic ones. Digital identity and authentication systems could allow Filipino professionals and enterprises to operate across ASEAN with far less friction and duplication.

Then there are the harder conversations: cross-border data flows and protection, online safety and cybersecurity, competition policy, talent mobility, and cooperation on emerging technologies. Artificial intelligence is among them.

The DEFA study, which built the economic and policy case for these negotiations, projects that a high-ambition agreement could propel ASEAN’s digital economy to roughly $2 trillion by 2030. The same study is candid about the unevenness of the current landscape in infrastructure, regulation, and digital readiness across member states. Flexibility and capacity-building, it concludes, are not concessions. They are prerequisites for an agreement that actually works for all ten members, not just the most advanced.

What does the Philippines bring? We are not arriving at this negotiation empty-handed. The domestic numbers, for all their complexity, tell a story of real momentum.

The Philippine digital economy reached P2.74 trillion in 2025, equivalent to 9.8 percent of GDP, and now supports more than 10 million Filipino jobs. One in every five workers in this country has some stake in the digital economy. Over 57 percent of monthly retail transactions are now digital, already surpassing government targets. InstaPay and PESONet together processed P24.7 trillion in transactions last year: a 42-percent surge year on year.

These figures signal that the infrastructure is working. But they also surface the tensions we have not yet resolved. Only 4.5 percent of rural banks are connected to InstaPay. A payment ecosystem capable of processing trillions of pesos annually, while leaving most rural banks disconnected, reminds us that digital transformation remains uneven.

This is where DEFA intersects with domestic urgency. The regional framework being negotiated right now will either reinforce that gap or help us close it. The question the Philippines must press at every table is whether DEFA will be felt in a sari-sari store in Zamboanga, not just in a quarterly report.

Initiatives like Project Nexus, linking our fast payment systems with India, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand, are early signals that borderless commerce can be made real. A Filipino entrepreneur should eventually be able to transact across ASEAN with the same ease and confidence as doing business within the Philippines. That is the standard worth building toward.

These realities make the upcoming ASEAN (Manila) Tech Summit 2026 particularly relevant, not merely as an industry gathering, but as a regional platform for shaping the next phase of ASEAN’s digital economy.

I predict that this year’s conversations will become generational commitments.

Last year’s summit, convened under President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., drew more than 3,000 attendees from over 600 organizations, with more than 100 global speakers. It gathered C-level executives and fintech decision-makers in one room. That poised Manila as a serious convening hub for ASEAN’s digital future. That credibility was earned. And now it must be deployed.

This year’s summit arrives as DEFA enters its final stretch. The theme of “Secure, Sustainable, Inclusive, Borderless” is not a tagline. Each word corresponds to an unresolved challenge.

Security means more than firewalls; it means the trust that allows an ordinary Filipino to participate in the digital economy without fear. Sustainability means growing at a pace our regulators and institutions can responsibly absorb. Inclusion means closing the last-mile gap, not just celebrating the headline. And borderless means building the regional rails so that our entrepreneurs, farmers, and cooperatives can access markets they were previously invisible to.

The summit also marks the launch of the 2026 Philippine FinTech Report, a leading reference for policymakers, investors and development institutions, at a moment when that guidance is truly needed.

DEFA has not yet been signed, and its final shape is still being negotiated. Likewise, the upcoming ASEAN (Manila) Tech Summit on July 28-29 is not the conclusion of this conversation, but an important checkpoint where policy ambition meets economic reality.

Ultimately, history will not measure these frameworks by the number of agreements signed or communiqués issued. It will measure whether businesses became more competitive, whether entrepreneurs gained wider access to markets, and whether ordinary Filipinos experienced tangible improvements in their daily lives.

The Philippines, under this chairship, has been given a rare window. The decisions made in the next few months will set the terms of ASEAN’s digital economy for a generation.

The digital economy is no longer a distant concept unfolding elsewhere. We are building it now, in real time. The only question worth asking is whether we are building it for everyone.

***

Lito Villanueva is the Philippines’ leading thought leader in inclusive digital finance. As EVP and chief innovation and inclusion officer of RCBC, he has driven large-scale digital initiatives that advanced financial inclusion. He is the founding chairman of FinTech Alliance PH, representing 95 percent of the country’s digital retail financial transactions with an aggregate user base in excess of 100 million, and the first global chairman of the Alliance of Digital Finance Associations. Recognized as a People Asia Men Who Matter 2025, Asia Trailblazer and AGORA Awardee, he continues to shape the fintech landscape in the Philippines and beyond.

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