OKC, Spurs remain faves

MANILA, Philippines — The parity era in the NBA seems like it could continue. At least, that’s what oddsmakers and bettors appear to believe after LeBron James’ latest decision to join the Philadelphia 76ers.
New York’s championship run last month capped a season that extended an unprecedented run of NBA parity, with eight different franchises winning titles in the last eight seasons – Toronto in 2019, James and the Los Angeles Lakers in 2020, Milwaukee in 2021, Golden State in 2022, Denver in 2023, Boston in 2024, Oklahoma City in 2025 and now the Knicks.
There’s at least a reasonable chance now that the run of new champions will continue in 2027, with reigning Western Conference champion San Antonio, Minnesota, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami – and, of course, Philadelphia now among the teams with the best odds right now of hoisting the Larry O’Brien Trophy next June.
A look at the teams and their odds, broken down by tiers:
The favorites
James’ decision moved Philadelphia into the upper tier of favorites – but not the highest tier.
Most major sportsbooks and prediction markets are clear: Teams are going to have to get through Oklahoma City and San Antonio to get out of the West. The Thunder, as of Saturday – and a lot will likely change in the next 10 months or so – would still be considered a slight favorite to win the NBA title in 2027, barely ahead of the Spurs.
That shouldn’t be a surprise: The Thunder are led by two-time Most Valuable Player Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and have a proven championship core, while the Spurs have unanimous Defensive Player of the Year Victor Wembanyama as the centerpiece of a young team that took huge strides in 2025-26 and should only get better.
Close to the top
This is the James impact: He’s got Philadelphia right there with defending champion New York.
The Knicks and 76ers have the third- and fourth-best championship odds – in some order, depending on the site – according to most books and prediction markets.
The good news for the Knicks: They’re right where they were entering last season, not quite the favorites but ahead of just about everybody in the league when it comes to title odds.
The good news for the 76ers: They’re going to have their best entering-the-season odds since probably 2019-20.
At No. 5, Boston
Some of the Celtics’ decisions this summer – particularly the trading of Jaylen Brown to Philadelphia – have faced serious criticism. Bettors don’t seem to mind, perhaps mindful of how the Celtics exceeded many expectations last season.
Boston is firmly the No. 5 choice right now according to most books and markets, not quite there with the Thunder, Spurs, Knicks and 76ers, but leading the rest of the pack.
The next five (or six)
This is where things start to get muddled, and where books and markets tend to vary on that next tier – the teams with the sixth-best through 11th-best odds.
Denver, Toronto, Minnesota, Detroit and Cleveland are all jammed fairly close together. The only real rising team in that mix is Toronto, clearly based on the expectation that the Raptors will eventually close the trade for Kawhi Leonard and bring back the key to their 2019 title run.
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