Is Pogacar’s Dominance Bad for Cycling?

The reason we love sports is the drama—the unpredictability, the suspense, the moments when underdogs defy the odds. But when one individual or team dominates a sport, does it start to feel dull and predictable?

This question becomes particularly relevant in light of the current state of professional cycling. For the past three years, one name has stood above all others: Tadej Pogacar. If his current trajectory continues unchallenged, he could very well surpass Eddy Merckx as cycling’s greatest of all time. 

But cycling has a complicated relationship with its heroes. Fans often adore their idols when they’re struggling (see Raymond Poulidor) and resent them when they win too easily (see Lance Armstrong). As of now, fans still cheer for Pogacar as he aims for his fourth Tour de France title—his second consecutive. But I suspect that if his dominance continues, the tide may soon turn. Sports fans, after all, tend to support underdogs more than enduring champions.

What makes Pogacar’s case unique is the way he wins. He makes it look effortless. Even when under pressure, there’s little visible strain—no grimace, no drama—just that ever-present boy-next-door smile as he crosses the line.

His only real rival in recent years, Jonas Vingegaard, has struggled with injuries. Vingegaard is everything Pogacar is not: stoic, lean, almost fragile-looking. I’m glad he managed to win two Tours, because if Pogacar had been at full strength during those years, he might not have stood a chance.

Some might argue that Lance Armstrong or Miguel Indurain had more impressive records—at least for now—but both eventually became figures of fatigue or controversy. Their continued dominance alienated fans rather than inspired them.   

I believe dominance can be good for a sport—if it’s punctuated by moments of defeat. Consider the New England Patriots, who won six Super Bowls between 2001 and 2018. Their losses in between made their wins feel earned, and fans remained invested. Or take the Chicago Bulls: six NBA titles in eight years might’ve bred resentment, but Michael Jordan’s temporary retirement created a break in their reign, allowing their legacy to remain beloved rather than resented.

So, what’s my take on Pogacar?

I believe his dominance might actually hurt the sport in the long run. While it’s thrilling to witness such athletic brilliance, his sheer superiority could discourage other teams and riders. If UAE Team Emirates continues to control the peloton with ease, potential sponsors and competitors might shy away from investing in a sport that feels predetermined.

To be clear, I’m not hoping to see Pogacar fail. His talent is awe-inspiring. But the way he’s imposing his will on the Tour is almost too complete—and that might not be good for cycling’s competitive spirit.