US-Russia ties at new low with expulsions of diplomats

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives to attend the military parade during the Navy Day celebration in St. Petersburg, Russia, on Sunday, July 30, 2017. (Maxim Shipenkov/Pool Photo via AP)

MOSCOW — With a sweeping cut in the number of US diplomatic personnel in Russia, President Vladimir Putin has raised the stakes further in an escalating rift with the United States.

The reductions, reminiscent of massive Cold War-era expulsions of diplomats, follow stiff, new sanctions against Russia approved by the US Congress.

A look at the Russian-US spat and its potential repercussions.

DIPLOMATIC TIT-FOR-TAT

In December 2016, following allegations of Russian meddling in the US presidential election, President Barack Obama ordered the expulsion of 35 Russian diplomats and the closure of two Russian diplomatic recreational retreats.

Putin denied interfering in the US vote and strongly protested Obama's move, but he refrained from immediate retaliation, hoping that President Donald Trump would reverse the action.

Russian and US diplomats have discussed the issue for months but failed to reach an agreement.

Putin finally decided to respond following an overwhelming approval of a new package of anti-Russian sanctions by the US Congress.

The Russian Foreign Ministry declared that, as of Sept. 1, the US Embassy and consular personnel will be capped at 455, the number that Russia has in the United States. Putin said it means that the US will have to cut 755 of its staff, calling the blow "painful." Russia also announced the closure of a US recreational compound and warehouse facilities.

It's the harshest retaliatory exchange since 1986, when the United States and the Soviet Union expelled dozens of diplomats.

COOPERATION IN SYRIA

During the first Trump-Putin meeting on the sidelines of the Group of G-20 summit in Germany earlier in July, Russia and the US sealed a deal on a safety zone in southwestern Syria. Moscow called the agreement a major breakthrough that could help end Syria's devastating civil war.

Even as he laid out drastic cuts on the US Embassy staff in televised comments Sunday, Putin emphasized the importance of the Syria deal, saying it signaled that Moscow and Washington could cooperate on global issues despite their differences. He noted the accord addresses the interests of Russia, the US and regional players, including Jordan and Israel.

Despite the tensions with the US, Moscow probably will try to stick to the safe zone agreement, which helps secure its role as a key player in the Syrian crisis on equal par with the US

UKRAINIAN CRISIS

A surge in US-Russia tensions augurs increased instability in eastern Ukraine, where Moscow-backed rebels are waging a separatist campaign.

While Putin has praised the appointment of a US envoy to help secure a fragile 2015 peace deal, skirmishes between the separatists and Ukrainian troops have continued in the east. The US and other Western countries imposed crippling sanctions on Russia over the annexation of Crimea from Ukraine and Moscow's support for the insurgency.

With many in Congress pushing for sending US weapons to Ukraine — a move Russia considers a red line — the conflict could grow even more violent.

NORTH KOREAN MISSILE TESTS

As the Russia-US ties grow increasingly strained, Russia may become more reluctant to support US efforts to raise pressure on North Korea to force it to curtail its missile and nuclear programs.

While Russia has criticized North Korea over its latest missile tests, it also has strongly warned the US against scaling up economic sanctions against the country.

Earlier this month, Russia teamed up with China to urge the US and South Korea to refrain from large-scale military exercises to encourage the North to show restraint.

ENERGY AND SPACE

Putin said US-Russian cooperation also has continued in several key areas, pointing to US companies' involvement in energy projects in Russia.

The two countries also have maintained close cooperation on space exploration, with US astronauts continuing to ride Russian spacecraft to the International Space Station, pending the development of new US spacecraft.

Putin noted that Russia has levers to hurt the US in a few areas where they cooperate, but he voiced hope he won't have to do that because such moves would hurt Moscow's own interests.
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