Why should we be surprised? Some 20 typhoons hit us every year, and the tragic results are predictable.
Whats really surprising is the way our government leaders dramatically recoil in well-publicized horror and indignation, claming the usual suspects (whore guilty, of course) the loggers, whether legal or illegal, and the kaingin farmers, plus increasingly, the squatters themselves.
Lets consider President GMAs official statement: "We are determined to make those responsible for widespread death and destruction pay the price for their misdeeds and we shall prosecute them the way we do terrorists, kidnappers, drug traffickers and other heinous criminals." (Applause, naturally).
The trouble is that some of those faces you see, occasionally, in Malacañang. Among the culprits are surely big shot officials and big shot PNP officers, military, etc. How can logging go on without governors, mayors, provincial commanders, DENR officials, and everybody along the highways who spot those trailer trucks with huge logs chained to them?
Sus, certainly the New Peoples Army "checkpoints", too, being counted guilty, either for participating in the bounty, or being remiss?
The truly awful thing is that the public seems, year after year, to swallow this drivel about loggers and "their cohorts" being punished. Instead, those profiteers will be invited, I suspect, to the Palace Christmas party or the New Year Vin dHonneur. I think I saw a few of them there last time.
If, on the other hand, a rejuvenated La Presidenta puts performance where her mouth is, and makes some charges stick, then Mabuhay! . . . but abangan ang kasunod na kabanata, after the dead are buried and the headlines fade.
Why, the disaster caught us short of everything despite this sort of thing being almost an annual affair. As Sarah Toms of the British Broadcasting Corporation observed (the BBC has been giving our floods and typhoons Winnie and Yoyong deaths in-depth coverage) were even running sort of body bags.
Maybe it was the "prayers" that did it. Perhaps the big blow billed as a super-typhoon veered partially away. Yoyong did far less damage than Winnie. Yet, it still left 33 dead (the "Office of Civil Defense" in Camp Aguinaldo said only 13, so lets get the correct body count, please) and 13 missing (Civil Defense said 19 missing). Measured against the reported 600 dead and 170 missing of the previous typhoon Winnie the final total will probably top 1,000 fatalities Yoyong was a disappointment. We must pray harder for disappointments of this nature.
However, beyond prayers, we must act. This time, logging of any kind must be curbed with an iron hand. But judging from past performance, any vows to do so may prove the usual and annual joke.
"The total land area of the Philippines is 30 million hectares. About 50 percent or 15 million hectares are classified as forest land while 47.10 percent or 14.12 million hectares are classified as alienable . . .
"However, only about 6.5 million hectares of total lands are still forested, with an estimated less than a million hectares classified as primary or virgin forests. According to the consolidated National Forest Resources Inventory-Systems Space Pour lobservacion de la Terre (NFRI-SPOT) data, our forests continue to be denuded at the rate of about 119,000 hectares per year. . ."
In short, we knew about the problem as early as 1989. How come we didnt bother to fix it?
Ofreneos theme was that the culprits in the massive denudation of our forests were "many", but the leading candidates are "in the past and present participants in the Japanese-oriented logging industry." In the early 1950s, he said, foreign products accounted for five percent of our exports. In 1966-68, their share increased to 27 percent. "It was only in the last decade that Japanese importations of timber declined because the "harvestable" forests had literally disappeared. In 1966, he noted, the Philippine share of the Japanese log market was as high as 35 percent, but in 1976, it was down to 19 percent. (I remember in those days, I was an energetic early-morning jogger doing what in my decrepit stage of deterioration, like our forests a 6-to-7-minute mile. When in Tokyo, I used to jog along the morning streets of Roppongi, the entertainment district, and would espy huge bags of black plastic, laid out by restaurants and girlie clubs on the sidewalk, bursting with discarded "used" wooden chopsticks, ready to be picked up by the efficient garbage men. "Salamabit," I would exclaim in alarm, "there goes our Philippine forests!"
In 2004, though, we ought to by now have stopped blaming the Japanese chopstick users and building industries so where are our chopped-done forests going?
An Asian Development Bank (ADB) report in the same year also expressed concern about forest denudation: "Soil erosion has become widespread in the uplands and lowlands alike, and is estimated at an equivalent of one-meter deep material over 100,000 hectares of land per year, or about one billion cubic meters of material every year . . . As a result, vast areas of forest and agricultural land have been rendered unsuitable for growing trees or crop farming, (while) sedimentation in rivers, reservoirs and irrigation canals has increased the threat to supply of water for agriculture and industry even for domestic consumption. Nineteen of the countrys 57 watershed areas have been declared to be in a crucial state of degradation . . . Flash floods have become frequent, adding to the risk to annual crop agriculture . . . It is feared that the environmental crisis would continue to worsen as an increasing population becomes compelled to eke out a living at the expense of nature and the generations to follow, causing paradoxically though, a perpetration of the misery of the rural population."
This misery has hit our rural population, as predicted in the past few days. Nature having been devastated is fighting back. Sanamagan. Doesnt anybody read reports, like those quoted above, in the hierarchy of government even the governments own reports? Greed conquers all. And weve just seen, once again, the aftermath of the runaway avarice.
Its becoming embarrassing for us columnists and dishers-out-of-opinion to constantly repeat: Lets do something now: If we stop expressing that kind of exhortation, well be accused of giving way to cynicism, or, worse, despair. If we believe something will be done, well be accused of naïvété or, perhaps more accurately, stupidity.
But hope springs eternal.